Monday, November 01, 2004

Prediction

Popular vote:

Kerry 52%
Bush 46%

Electoral votes:

Kerry 287
Bush 251

I give Kerry these crucial states (plus the usual blue states):

Florida (27)
Michigan (17)
Pennsylvania (21)
Minnesota (10)
Iowa (7)
Arkansas (6)
New Mexico (5)

I give Bush Ohio, West Virginia and Wisconsin, plus the usual red states.

Ohio, though, could still swing our way.

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