Prediction
Popular vote:Kerry 52%
Bush 46%
Electoral votes:
Kerry 287
Bush 251
I give Kerry these crucial states (plus the usual blue states):
Florida (27)
Michigan (17)
Pennsylvania (21)
Minnesota (10)
Iowa (7)
Arkansas (6)
New Mexico (5)
I give Bush Ohio, West Virginia and Wisconsin, plus the usual red states.
Ohio, though, could still swing our way.
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